Update on the Latest Premier League Title News

March 26, 2012 - by mosesbet · Filed Under Sports News Comments Off on Update on the Latest Premier League Title News 

The last 2 weeks have signaled a big, big change in momentum for the 2011/12 Barclays Premier League Title race.

Manchester City’s 1-0 loss to Swansea at the Liberty Stadium was a huge turning point in the title race.  However, the loss of 2 points here, combined with another 2 points dropped at the Britannia Stadium against Stoke in their 1-1 draw last weekend, has put Man Utd in the driving seat.

Although City are level with Man Utd on 70 points, Utd have a game in hand tonight against Fulham, which they should comfortably win at home.  Rooney, Hernandez and Wellbeck are all in goal scoring form, while Utd’s defensive partnership of Evans and Ferdinand at the back seems to be getting better and better.

While the title race is by no means over (it is still in City’s hands if they win their remaining 8 games), the momentum is definitely with the red side of the city, who have a much easier final run-in of games as you can see below.

Title Run-in: Manchester City vs. Manchester Utd

With an average of 2.3 points per game for both clubs this season, it’s pretty obvious that neither team can afford to drop more then 5 points out of the last 8 remaining games of the season.

However, while Utd have a fairly easy run-in of games, which includes Blackburn, QPR and Wigan in the next 2 weeks, City have yet to play against two top 6 teams including at Arsenal away and Newcastle away.

Of course, the biggest game comes down to the Manchester derby at the Etihad Stadium on April 30th, which could or could not decide the title.  Judging by the remaining run-in, Utd should be on top and be happy with a draw by the time that game is played.

Let’s just say for argument’s sake that Manchester Utd beat Fulham at home tonight (placing them 3 points above City) and that City fail to beat Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium.  That would give Man Utd a 5 point lead (assuming their don’t also drop points against inferior opponents) and mean the title race would still be in Utd’s favor with a 2 point lead even if they lose to City.

In other words, City simply cannot afford to drop points in the run up to this game – especially against 3rd place Arsenal at the Emirates.  The same goes for Utd of course, however a drop of points against any of those 6 games in the run up to the City match (including Fulham tonight, Blackburn, QPR, Wigan, Aston Villa and Everton) would be considered poor anyway.

The thing I find most amazing about this season’s title race is that City have spent almost half a billion pounds on their first team signing prodigious talents such as Balotelli, Nasri, Yaya Toure, Dzeko, Silva and Agueor.  And yet Man Utd might still edge them to the title, with a new fangled back four, which includes David de Gea, Phil Jones and Jonny Evans replacing the injured Vidic.

Even with Utd’s back four plagued by injury this season (including long term absences from Evra and Ferdinand) – leading to the same defensive frailties that caused early exits from the Champions League Group Stage, Utd are still in control for the Premier League crown.